U.S. Economy Grows 2.2% in Q2, Surpassing Earlier Estimate
U.S. GDP growth hits 2.2% in second quarter, outpacing prior 1.5% estimate.
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The U.S. economy expanded at a solid 2.2% annualized rate in the second quarter of 2026, according to the Commerce Department, surpassing its earlier estimate of 1.5%. This upward revision surprised economists, who had anticipated little or no change in GDP growth.
Consumer Spending Drives Growth
Consumer spending, which accounts for about 70% of U.S. economic activity, rose at a healthy 3.8% annual pace in Q2, up from 0.7% in the first quarter. This growth was fueled by a strong stock market, which reflects optimism over artificial intelligence developments and has enriched wealthy investors, giving them more disposable income to spend.
Imports Drag on Growth
The overall growth figure was partially offset by a surge in imports, which rose at a 12.6% annual pace. Imports subtracted nearly 1.7 percentage points from second-quarter growth, mainly due to increased shipments of computer chips and other AI-related products.
Business Investment and Economic Resilience
Business investment, excluding housing, rose at a 9% rate in the second quarter, reflecting the AI investment boom. A measure of the economy’s underlying strength, which strips out volatile government spending and trade numbers, grew at a strong 4.6% rate, up from 1.8% in the first quarter.
AI and Wealth Effects Fuel Growth
Michael Pearce, chief U.S. economist at Oxford Economics, noted that the economy is increasingly reliant on AI gains and the corresponding wealth effects that boost higher-income households’ spending power. He warned that the economy remains sensitive to a sudden reversal of optimism on AI.
Housing Market Shows Signs of Recovery
Investment in housing rose 2.8% in the second quarter, marking the first increase since the end of 2024. However, the housing market has been depressed by high mortgage rates, which have constrained buyer activity.
Next GDP Estimate Due in October
The Commerce Department’s report marked the final estimate of second-quarter GDP growth. The first look at third-quarter growth is expected on October 29.
Source: OANN