Poll Shows Right-Wing Coalition Likely to Win Spain’s Election
New poll suggests Spain’s right-wing coalition could secure majority in upcoming snap elections.
2 min read
Last week’s tragic train accident in Spain, which killed 69 people, has further weakened the chances of the Spanish socialist government to remain in power, according to a new poll published on Sunday. The incident, which occurred on October 28 in Urda, Toledo, has led to a significant drop in support for the ruling Spanish Socialist Workers’ Party (PSOE), with the party now projected to secure only 106 seats in the upcoming November 29 snap elections.
Right-Wing Coalition Dominates Poll Projections
The poll, conducted by SocioMétrica and published by El Español, indicates that a right-wing coalition between the center-right People’s Party (PP) and the anti-mass migration VOX party is projected to secure a commanding lead. The PP is expected to win 137 seats, while VOX is projected to secure 64. When combined with the two projected seats from the Navarrese People’s Union’s alliance with the PP in Navarre (UPN-PP), the coalition would secure a total of 203 seats—well above the 176 needed to form a government.
Before the tragedy, the same pollster had projected the PP, VOX, and UPN-PP to secure 200 seats. However, the tragedy has further dented the PSOE’s chances, with the party now projected to secure only 106 seats, 15 fewer than in 2023. The current ruling leftist coalition is projected to secure 145 seats, which would not allow the Sánchez administration to remain in power.
Tragedy and Political Fallout
Spain is still mourning the October 28 train collision in Urda, Toledo, which claimed the lives of 69 passengers and left several more injured. As of Monday morning, 66 of the 69 fatal victims have been identified, with 54 being Spaniards and 12 foreigners from different nationalities. Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez, a member of the PSOE, called for the snap election on October 5, but the recent tragedy has further dented the unpopular leader’s plans to stay in power.
The poll also highlights the growing support for the PP and VOX, with the People’s Party projected to be the most-voted group at the Spanish exclaves of Ceuta and Melilla—both of which are facing mass migrant invasions. Additionally, VOX and the PP have announced a new agreement to not compete against each other in several Senate races, a move aimed at reducing the chances of a PSOE-led majority in the Upper House.
According to the survey, the PSOE only has a 4 percent chance of forming a new coalition government, against a 96 percent chance of a PP-led government in coalition with VOX. The results suggest that the tragedy has significantly shifted the political landscape in Spain, with the right-wing coalition poised to take control.
Source: Breitbart
